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Daily Market Analysis for November 18, 2025

November 18th, 2025 9:44 AM by Richard Sardella MLO.100007700/NMLS 233568


Daily Market Analysis 11/18/2025

Looking for data to be reported this week, the September unemployment report due out this Thursday. The October employment report will most likely not be reported due to the inability to collect necessary data. What’s still unclear is whether the consumer-price index for October will be published. What ever data is reported, and when, there will concerns about accuracy that will keep the Fed and markets in quandaries, making a rate cut decision difficult either way.

Data on the calendar that won’t be released today; October industrial production and capacity utilization, October import and export prices, October factory orders.

At 9:30 am the DJIA opened -480, NASDAQ -192, S&P -44. From last Friday’s close through today’s open the DJIA is -1,037. 10 year at 9:30 am 4.10% -4 bps. FNMA 5.5 30 year coupon at 9:30 am +7 bps from yesterday’s close and -2 bps from 9:30 am yesterday.

At 10 am NAHB reported its November housing market index, expected at 37.0, the index increased to 38.

PRICES @ 10:00 AM

10 year note: 4.10% -4 bp

5 year note: 3.67% -6 bp

2 year note: 3.56% -6 bp

30 year bond: 4.72% -2 bp

30 year FNMA 5.5: @9:30 am 100.81 +7 bp (-2 bp from 9:30 am yesterday)

30 year FNMA 6.0: @9:30 am 102.09 -2 bp (-3 bp from 9:30 am yesterday)

30 year GNMA 5.5: @9:30 am 101.51 -5 bp (-5 bp from 9:30 am yesterday)

Dollar/Yen: 155.34 +0.08 yen

Dollar/Euro: $1.1596 +$0.0004

Dollar Index: 99.48 -0.11

Gold: $4,074.80 +$0.30

Bitcoin: 92,030 +171

Crude Oil: $59.70 -$0.21

DJIA: 46,091 -499

NASDAQ: 22,345 -363

S&P 500: 6601 -71

About Richard Sardella

Richard Sardella has been actively managing and providing services in the mortgage industry for over 30 years. Richard serves on the board of directors as President of Colorado Home Mortgages Inc.

About This Report And Disclosure Information

All information furnished has been forwarded to you and is provided by thetbwsgroup only for informational purposes. Forecasting shall be considered as events which may be expected but not guaranteed. Neither the forwarding party and/or company nor thetbwsgroup assume any responsibility to any person who relies on information or forecasting contained in this report and disclaims all liability in respect to decisions or actions, or lack thereof based on any or all of the contents of this report.

MLO of record MLO.100007700 / NMLS#233568 / CHM NMLS#127716.

Posted by Richard Sardella MLO.100007700/NMLS 233568 on November 18th, 2025 9:44 AM

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