CHM Blog

Daily Market Analysis January 21, 2026

January 21st, 2026 8:58 AM by Richard Sardella MLO.100007700/NMLS 233568


Daily Market Analysis 1/21/2026

At 8:30 am ET the 10 year note was unchanged.

MBA reported last week’s mortgage applications were strong last week adding to the prior week’s gains. Overall apps rose by 14.1% from the previous week in the period ending January 16th, extending the 28.5% surge in the previous week. Applications for contracts to refinance a mortgage, which are sensitive to short-term changes in rates, rose by 20% from the previous week. Meanwhile, applications for a mortgage to purchase a new home rose by 5%.

At 10 am December pending home sales month/month -9.3% from +3.3% in November.

At 1 pm $13B 20 year bond auction.

PRICES @ 10:00 AM

10 year note: 4.29% -1 bp

5 year note: 3.85% unch

2 year note: 3.59% -1 bp

30 year bond: 4.92% unch

30 year FNMA 5.0: @9:30 am 99.81 +7 bp (+3 bp from 9:30 am yesterday)

30 year FNMA 5.5: @9:30 am 101.20 +6 bp (unch from 9:30 am yesterday)

30 year GNMA 5.0: @9:30 am 99.64 +7 bp (+3 bp from 9:30 am yesterday)

Dollar/Yen: 158.08 -0.8 yen

Dollar/Euro: $1.1728 +$0.0003

Dollar Index: 98.51 -0.13

Gold: $4,869.90 +104.10 (continuing to increase, more new highs)

Bitcoin: 89,502 -65

Crude Oil: $60.43 +$0.07

DJIA: 48,823 +335

NASDAQ: 23,122 +167

S&P 500: 6850 +53

About Richard Sardella

Richard Sardella has been actively managing and providing services in the mortgage industry for over 30 years. Richard serves on the board of directors as President of Colorado Home Mortgages Inc.

About This Report And Disclosure Information

All information furnished has been forwarded to you and is provided by thetbwsgroup only for informational purposes. Forecasting shall be considered as events which may be expected but not guaranteed. Neither the forwarding party and/or company nor thetbwsgroup assume any responsibility to any person who relies on information or forecasting contained in this report and disclaims all liability in respect to decisions or actions, or lack thereof based on any or all of the contents of this report.

MLO of record MLO.100007700 / NMLS#233568 / CHM NMLS#127716.

Posted by Richard Sardella MLO.100007700/NMLS 233568 on January 21st, 2026 8:58 AM

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