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Daily Market Analysis for December 2, 2025

December 2nd, 2025 2:37 PM by Richard Sardella MLO.100007700/NMLS 233568


Daily Market Analysis 12/2/2025

MBS prices yesterday were down 20 bps, early this morning down 2 more.

There isn’t any direct news today with markets looking toward data later this week; ADP private jobs tomorrow (+20K from +42K the prior week), Thursday weekly jobless claims (225K from 216K the previous week), Friday PCE inflation for September, old data but its an inflation gauge that will get a lot of focus (overall month/month 0.3%, year/year 2.8%; core PCE month/month +0.3%, year/year +2.9%). If the report is as expected it will show inflation didn’t increase from August. Also, in the mix Friday September personal income (+0.4% personal spending +0.4%).

At 9:30 am the DJIA opened +131, NASDAQ +105, S&P +21. 10 year at 9:30 am 4.11% +2 bps. FNMA 5.5 30 year coupon at 9:30 am +2 bps from yesterday’s close and unchanged from 9:30 am yesterday.

PRICES @ 10:00 AM

10 year note: 4.11% +2 bp

5 year note: 3.67% unch

2 year note: 3.53% -2 bp

30 year bond: 4.76% +2 bp

30 year FNMA 5.5: @9:30 am +2 bp (unch from 9:30 am yesterday)

30 year FNMA 6.0: @9:30 am unch (+2 bp from 9:30 am yesterday)

30 year GNMA 5.5: @9:30 am +3 bp (+1 bp from 9:30 am yesterday)

Dollar/Yen: 156.03 +0.55 yen

Dollar/Euro: $1.1618 +$0.0007

Dollar Index: 99.42 +0.01

Gold: $4,256.20 -$18.60

Bitcoin: 88,688 +3220

Crude Oil: $58.74 -$0.59

DJIA: 47,355 +66

NASDAQ: 23,447 +171

S&P 500: 6834 +21

About Richard Sardella

Richard Sardella has been actively managing and providing services in the mortgage industry for over 30 years. Richard serves on the board of directors as President of Colorado Home Mortgages Inc.

About This Report And Disclosure Information

All information furnished has been forwarded to you and is provided by thetbwsgroup only for informational purposes. Forecasting shall be considered as events which may be expected but not guaranteed. Neither the forwarding party and/or company nor thetbwsgroup assume any responsibility to any person who relies on information or forecasting contained in this report and disclaims all liability in respect to decisions or actions, or lack thereof based on any or all of the contents of this report.

MLO of record MLO.100007700 / NMLS#233568 / CHM NMLS#127716.

Posted by Richard Sardella MLO.100007700/NMLS 233568 on December 2nd, 2025 2:37 PM

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