November 14th, 2025 9:07 AM by Richard Sardella MLO.100007700/NMLS 233568
No data today, it will take a few days to get data flowing, the BLS is expected to release some kind of schedule early next week.
The movement in stock indexes is the momentary driver for rates, both equities and rates still flying blind until real data begins to be reported. Traders are now pricing in a 52% chance that the Federal Reserve will cut its benchmark borrowing rate by a quarter percentage point during their December meeting, which is lower than the 62.9% likelihood that markets priced in earlier this week and 95.5% chance a month ago.
PRICES @ 10:00 AM
10 year note: 4.11% -1 bp
5 year note: 3.70% -1 bp
2 year note: 3.59% -1 bp
30 year bond: 4.72% +1 bp
30 year FNMA 5.5: @9:30 100.88 +7 bp (-2 bp from 9:30 yesterday)
30 year FNMA 6.0: @9:30 102.15 +4 bp (unch from 9:30 yesterday)
30 year GNMA 5.5: @9:30 100.74 +4 bp (-3 bp from 9:30 yesterday)
Dollar/Yen: 154.19 -0.36 yen
Dollar/Euro: $1.1632 -$0.0002
Dollar Index: 99.18 +0.03
Gold: $4,071.20 -$123.30
Bitcoin: 96,495 -1581
Crude Oil: $59.74 +$1.05
DJIA: 46,997 -460
NASDAQ: 22,780 -90
S&P 500: 6698 -38
Richard Sardella has been actively managing and providing services in the mortgage industry for over 30 years. Richard serves on the board of directors as President of Colorado Home Mortgages Inc.
All information furnished has been forwarded to you and is provided by thetbwsgroup only for informational purposes. Forecasting shall be considered as events which may be expected but not guaranteed. Neither the forwarding party and/or company nor thetbwsgroup assume any responsibility to any person who relies on information or forecasting contained in this report and disclaims all liability in respect to decisions or actions, or lack thereof based on any or all of the contents of this report.
MLO of record MLO.100007700 / NMLS#233568 / CHM NMLS#127716.