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Daily Market Analysis August 11, 2026

August 11th, 2026 8:54 AM by Richard Sardella MLO.100007700/NMLS 233568


Daily Market Analysis 8/11/2026

Crude oil increased overnight but backed off by 7:30 am ET this morning. At 8:30 am the 10 year note rate 4.69% -2 bps, MBS prices began +9 bps. Oil prices jumped sharply early on Tuesday, with global benchmark Brent crude oil futures adding 2.5% to trade near $90 per barrel, before paring gains. Brent traded 0.3% higher at $87.99 per barrel at 8:27 am.

July NFIB small business optimism index estimates were index at 97.3, reported at 99.8 and up from 97.4 in June.

Still a stand off with Iran.

At 10 am July existing home sales, estimates at 4.05 million from 4.09 million in June; as reported sales were 4.06 million.

At 1 pm Treasury will auction $58B of 3 year notes.

Tomorrow July CPI is expected to indicate month/month overall and core inflation increased from June while year/year overall and core were down slightly.

PRICES @ 10:00 AM

10 year note: 4.68% -3 bp

5 year note: 4.38% -3 bp

2 year note: 4.22% -2 bp

30 year bond: 5.23% -2 bp

30 year FNMA 6.0: @9:30 am 101.20 +2 bp (-25 bp from 9:30 am yesterday)

30 year FNMA 5.5 @9:30 am 99.20 +13 bp (-19 bp from 9:30 am yesterday)

30 year GNMA 6.0: @9:30 am 101.78 +2 bp (-4 bp from 9:30 am yesterday)

Dollar/Yen: 159.21 -0.09 yen

Dollar/Euro: $1.1547 +$0.0004

Dollar Index: 99.80 -0.01

Gold: $4,461.90 +$42.20

Bitcoin: 64,118 +147

Crude Oil: $81.48 -$0.65

DJIA: 54,177 +201

NASDAQ: 26,578 -27

S&P 500: 7762 +9

About Richard Sardella

Richard Sardella has been actively managing and providing services in the mortgage industry for over 30 years. Richard serves on the board of directors as President of Colorado Home Mortgages Inc.

About This Report And Disclosure Information

All information furnished has been forwarded to you and is provided by thetbwsgroup only for informational purposes. Forecasting shall be considered as events which may be expected but not guaranteed. Neither the forwarding party and/or company nor thetbwsgroup assume any responsibility to any person who relies on information or forecasting contained in this report and disclaims all liability in respect to decisions or actions, or lack thereof based on any or all of the contents of this report.

MLO of record MLO.100007700 / NMLS#233568 / CHM NMLS#127716.

Posted by Richard Sardella MLO.100007700/NMLS 233568 on August 11th, 2026 8:54 AM

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