September 11th, 2026 10:00 AM by Richard Sardella MLO.100007700/NMLS 233568
Markets have been looking for this morning’s August CPI all week. Inflation is in line with forecasts although the month/month core inflation ticked slightly higher. The initial reaction pushed the 10 year note up a couple of bps point to 4.98% but immediately reversed. Headlines pointed to “sticky” inflation, but markets saw it as inflation isn’t increasing. The bond market still looking for an increase in the FF rates at next week’s FOMC meeting.
After furious moves in oil and stocks this week all are showing improvement this morning, from a technical perspective the markets were overrun with excessive movements this week.
Another key data report at 2 pm this afternoon, Treasury will report the August budget estimates at -$404B.
PRICES @ 10:00 AM
10 year note: 4.93% -4 bp
5 year note: 4.74% -2 bp
2 year note: 4.59% unch
30 year bond: 5.32% -4 bp
30 year FNMA 6.0: @9:30 am 100.10 +12 bp (-12 bp from 9:30 am yesterday)
30 year FNMA 5.5: @9:30 am 97.70 +16 bp (-11 bp from 9:30 am yesterday)
30 year GNMA 6.0: @9:30 am 100.52 +12 bp (-10 bp from 9:30 am yesterday)
Dollar/Yen: 153.49 -0.94 yen
Dollar/Euro: $1.1610 -$0.0002
Dollar Index: 99.06 +0.02
Gold: $4,431.50 +$24.20
Bitcoin: 78,529 +1414
Crude Oil: $98.80 -$3.59
DJIA: 52,630 +566
NASDAQ: 26,385 +304
S&P 500: 7672 +80
Richard Sardella has been actively managing and providing services in the mortgage industry for over 30 years. Richard serves on the board of directors as President of Colorado Home Mortgages Inc.
All information furnished has been forwarded to you and is provided by thetbwsgroup only for informational purposes. Forecasting shall be considered as events which may be expected but not guaranteed. Neither the forwarding party and/or company nor thetbwsgroup assume any responsibility to any person who relies on information or forecasting contained in this report and disclaims all liability in respect to decisions or actions, or lack thereof based on any or all of the contents of this report.
MLO of record MLO.100007700 / NMLS#233568 / CHM NMLS#127716.