CHM Blog

Daily Market Analysis January 13, 2020

January 13th, 2020 9:53 AM by Richard Sardella MLO.100007700/NMLS 233568

Daily Market Analysis

Domestic trouble in Iran over the weekend when Iran leaders said its government did shoot down the Ukrainian passenger plane killing all aboard, including 13 Iranians. While the number of protesters that have taken to the streets isn't extreme, the protests directed to the Iranian government as people chanted in opposition to Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, and calls to rid the country of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps. Protesters in the videos said arrests had been made and tear gas fired at crowds. The US is economically squeezing Iran and its economy is close to collapse, the leadership is increasingly under pressure. The admission that the government shot down the passenger plane and the killing of the terrorist general leader of Iran's intelligence and terrorist squad may lead to more unrest.

Nancy Pelosi said she will send the impeachment to the Senate this week, ending a three-week standoff between her and Mitch McConnell over how the Senate will conduct the trial. Pelosi will name the House managers, who'll serve as the prosecutors in the Senate proceedings, and transmit the two articles of impeachment. Pelosi plans to meet with House Democrats tomorrow. Lots of political drama; 10 months before the election and an impeached president on the ballot.

At 9:30 am ET the DJIA opened +59, NASDAQ +35, S&P +8. 10 yr. 1.85% +3 bps. MBS prices -5 Bps from Friday's close and -9 bps from 9:30 Friday morning.

Tensions between the US and Iran are lessening today. The Iranian government under serious resistance from its people calling for the religious Clerics to "get lost."

This week has a lot of events and a substantial economic calendar. Pelosi is sending impeachment to the Senate. Tomorrow another Democratic debate, the last one leading to the Iowa caucus in three weeks. The political drama and geopolitical situation shouldn't be what markets focus on as much as the economic calendar; this week likely more focused on the status of the economy based on the data. The only data today is the Dec Treasury budget expected -$15.0B; the 2020 budget shortfall will exceed $1 trillion.

PRICES @ 10:00 AM ET

10 yr. note: 1.85% +3 bp

5 yr. note: 1.65% +2 bp

2 Yr. note: 1.58% unch

30 yr. bond: 2.31% +3 bp

Libor Rates: 1 mo. 1.676%; 3 mo. 1.837%; 6 mo. 1.872%; 1 yr. 1.966% (1/10/20)

30 yr. FNMA 3.0: @9:30 101.64 -5 bp (-9 bp from 9:30 Friday)

15 yr. FNMA 3.0: @9:30 102.62 unch (-5 bp from 9:30 Friday)

30 yr. GNMA 3.0: @9:30 102.59 -9 bp (-11 bp from 9:30 Friday)

Dollar/Yuan: $6.8945 -$0.0250

Dollar/Yen: 109.90 +0.44 yen

Dollar/Euro: $1.1122 unch

Dollar Index: 97.44 +0.08

Gold: $1551.50 -$8.60

Crude Oil: $58.47 -$0.57

DJIA: 28,883.25 +59.48

NASDAQ: 92202.8 +41.42

S&P 500: 3275.50 +10.15

About Richard Sardella

Richard Sardella has been actively managing and providing services in the mortgage industry for over 27 years. Richard serves on the board of directors as President of Colorado Home Mortgages Inc.

About This Report And Disclosure Information

All information furnished has been forwarded to you and is provided by thetbwsgroup only for informational purposes. Forecasting shall be considered as events which may be expected but not guaranteed. Neither the forwarding party and/or company nor thetbwsgroup assume any responsibility to any person who relies on information or forecasting contained in this report and disclaims all liability in respect to decisions or actions, or lack thereof based on any or all of the contents of this report.

MLO of record MLO.100007700 / NMLS#233568 / CHM NMLS#127716.

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Posted by Richard Sardella MLO.100007700/NMLS 233568 on January 13th, 2020 9:53 AM

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